Hypothesis-First Thinking Can Save Your Business


In 2015, Facebook released information showing that its users were far more engaged with video content than any other kind of media.

This sent ripples through the entire media ecosystem.

Suddenly every company was talking about "pivot to video." Companies like Vice and Buzzfeed laid off writers and started producing more videos.

The problem? The Facebook data wasn't real. Facebook shared inflated data and avoided owning up to it for several years.

I have some sympathy for the companies that blindly followed Facebook's advice.

However, they should have treated it like a hypothesis, not gospel.

They should have asked the question:

Can we improve our businesses by shifting to more video content?

And then tested it.

I teach people how to do this in the third module of Think Like A Strategy Consultant around a real-world case (randomly about Facebook too).

So, before you follow the latest trend, get excited about that buzzword, or implement the latest strategy the "cool" company just announced, maybe test it first?

Paul Millerd

Freelancer, creator & writer

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